Mets vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2025, 7:01 p.m. ET

The match between the New York Mets and Kansas City Royals is set for Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET, featuring two standout hitters, Brandon Nimmo and Salvador Perez. The Mets are favored at -125 on the moneyline, while the Royals, as the underdogs, have +106 moneyline odds for a win vip ph club casino. New York is also the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +123 odds). The total runs over/under for this game has been set at 9.5.

Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Mets-Royals game, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 11, 2025, at 8:10 p.m. ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SNY

Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total Over	Total Under	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -125	Royals +106	9.5 -105	-115	-1.5	+123	-145

Mets vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Royals 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Under 9. phbet apk5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Royals 48%

Mets vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have been favored 66 times and have won 42 games, a winning percentage of 63.6%. New York is 35-21 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline, which also suggests a 55.6% chance of victory for the Mets.

On the other hand, the Royals have been underdogs in 59 games this season, winning 28 of those (47.5%). Kansas City has secured 17 wins out of 39 games when listed as an underdog of at least +106, indicating an implied victory probability of 48.5% based on the current moneyline.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets hold a 3-4 record from their last ten matchups while favored on the moneyline. In their last ten games, the Mets and their opponents combined have hit the over on the total seven times. The Mets’ against the spread (ATS) record in this span is 2-8-0.

Mets Recent Stats

Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 4. jili888 casino6
Home Runs: 13
ERA: 5.63
Strikeouts per 9 Innings: 7.9

Mets Player Insights

Juan Soto leads the Mets with 21 home runs, ranking 67th in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging across all MLB hitters. Pete Alonso is also making headlines with 21 home runs and 76 RBIs, showcasing a .284 batting average, placing him 11th in home runs and third in RBIs this season.

Francisco Lindor boasts a .261 batting average with 18 doubles, 18 home runs, and 32 walks. He enters this game on a five-game hitting streak, batting .316 during this stretch. Brandon Nimmo holds a .260 batting average with 17 doubles and 18 home runs, hitting at .368 over his last five games, including a home run and five RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U – Ronny Mauricio: 0.5 (-225)
Total Bases O/U – Pete Alonso: 1.5 (+100)
HR O/U – Juan Soto: 1.5 (+180)
RBI O/U – Jeff McNeil: 0.5 (+155)

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in seven of their last ten games, winning four of those contests. In their last ten games with a total, they have hit the over four times. They also managed to win six of their last ten against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Record: 7-3
Runs Per Game: 4.4
Home Runs: 14
ERA: 3.41
Strikeouts per 9 Innings: 7.9

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. continues to impress, batting .295 with 31 doubles and 13 home runs 22 vip ph. He enters this game with a 13-game hitting streak, averaging betso88 free 100 download.385 over his last ten outings. Maikel Garcia leads the team with a .305 batting average, while Vinnie Pasquantino has contributed 15 home runs and 56 RBIs. Salvador Pérez rounds out the Royals’ lineup batting .245 with 13 home runs and 24 doubles.